By Phenelle Segal, RN, CIC, FAPIC, Founder, Infection Control Consulting Services (ICCS)
For at least two years, the infection prevention and epidemiology community has been assessing the “pandemic of the century,” COVID-19, and what lessons were learned and how we can apply them to strengthen preparation for a future pandemic. We are also trying to determine whether our COVID-19 experiences have improved confidence in our ability to handle a large outbreak or another pandemic, even if it is on a smaller scale than what we experienced from 2020-2022.
One of the first obstacles to effectively preventing transmission of the deadly respiratory virus in 2020 was the lack of personal protective equipment (PPE) — masks effective enough to prevent healthcare workers from inhaling the highly transmissible virus, becoming ill, and possibly dying from the virus. We did our best to work with the limited supplies we had in our possession and pursued efforts to extend their use, like reprocessing or repurposing N95 masks and reusing disposable gowns. These experiences still haunt me today, and I continue to emphasize the need for facilities to ensure they are adequately prepared for the next pandemic, which is inevitable. We must consider where we experienced shortcomings and what we can learn from those difficult experiences. Doing so will enable us to continue growing and improving our preparedness. We know that complacency leads to potential catastrophe. Yes, we are all burned out and tired of the constant reminder that microorganisms are lurking and can strike at any time, but we must remain alert.
I would be in denial if I said that I’m not in the least bit concerned about the ongoing outbreak of avian influenza, also known as H5N1 or bird flu, among poultry and cattle that has become a daily news item. We are fully aware that what begins in animals (zoonosis) can mutate to infect humans, and that would begin the chain of person-to-person spread, potentially in as virulent if not more virulent manner than COVID-19 spread. Of additional concern is the inability to figure out how soon another pandemic may occur, but we know it is inevitable. Questions include whether it will be respiratory in nature, will it present as it did in 2014 with the hemorrhagic fever illness known as Ebola (five years after the H1N1 swine flu), where will it originate from, and can we contain it without huge consequences, as we were able to do with Ebola?
My concerns with H5N1 were present even before I read a recent Medscape article about the increasing H5N1 cases in North America, whereby the article's author highlighted one individual infected in Western Canada and one in Missouri. Both patients had no history of contact with animals, and the source of the virus is unknown. The most recent case, albeit presumptive at this juncture (as of December 13), is a patient hospitalized in Louisiana who had contact with sick and dead birds.
This is all particularly concerning to me and led me to recommend that all ICCS clients and other facilities should, if they have not done so already, begin putting together or reevaluating and updating their pandemic preparedness plans; educating staff about the emerging threat, particularly emergency department and ICU staff; and, equally as important, pulling the pandemic team back together to discuss mitigation strategies based on lessons learned. A key area to concentrate on besides patient placement and other vital steps is PPE and ensuring that, at a minimum, you have stockpiled enough masks, gowns and gloves to respond when we are faced with another outbreak.
I do not have a crystal ball, and neither do any of us in the infection control and prevention field, but we do know that another respiratory pandemic is not a matter of if but when. With increasing cases of H5N1 among animals, and more human cases reported every week, will this virus remain as a zoonotic outbreak or will it soon begin to mutate and spread from human to human?